Scenarios
Last updated
Last updated
PACTA as a methodology is scenario agnostic, however the methodology requires data with sufficient technological and regional breakdowns; i.e. it should cover the same sectors and ideally provide pathways at a country or regional granularity.
The table below gives an overview of available scenarios in the for Investors tool.
Scenario
Sectors Covered
Global Average Temperature rise in 2100
Probability
Publication
Abbreviation
Net Zero by 2050
Oil and Gas, Coal, Power, Automotive, Steel, Cement
1.5°C
50%
IEA, NZE report
NZE_2050
Sustainable Development Scenario
Oil and Gas, Coal, Power
1.65°C
50%
IEA, WEO 2021
SDS
Announced Pledges Scenario
Oil and Gas, Coal, Power
2.1°C
50%
IEA, WEO 2021
ADS
Stated Policy Scenario
Oil and Gas, Coal, Power
2.7°C
50%
IEA, WEO 2021
STEPS
Sustainable Development Scenario
Power, Oil & Gas, Coal
1.6°C
50%
IEA, ETP 2020
ETP_SDS
Baseline
Power, Automotive, Oil & Gas
1.5°C
50%
JRC, GECO 2021 Baseline
NDC LTS
Power, Automotive, Oil & Gas, Coal
1.8°C
50%
JRC GECO 2021, NDC LTS
1.5C Unified
Power, Automotive, Oil & Gas, Coal, Aviation
>3°C
50%
JRC GECO 2021,
1.5C Unif
ISF Net Zero Scenario
Power, Coal, Oil & Gas
1.5°C
66%
ISF 2020, Sectoral Pathways to Net Zero Emissions
ISF_NZ