Scenarios

Available Scenarios

PACTA as a methodology is scenario agnostic, however the methodology requires data with sufficient technological and regional breakdowns; i.e. it should cover the same sectors and ideally provide pathways at a country or regional granularity.

The table below gives an overview of available scenarios in the for Investors tool.

Scenario	Sectors Covered	Global Average Temperature rise in 2100	Probability	Publication	Abbreviation
Net Zero by 2050	Oil and Gas, Coal, Power, Automotive, Steel, Cement	1.5°C	50%	IEA, NZE report	NZE_2050
Sustainable Development Scenario	Oil and Gas, Coal, Power	1.65°C	50%	IEA, WEO 2021	SDS
Announced Pledges Scenario	Oil and Gas, Coal, Power	2.1°C	50%	IEA, WEO 2021	ADS
Stated Policy Scenario	Oil and Gas, Coal, Power	2.7°C	50%	IEA, WEO 2021	STEPS
Sustainable Development Scenario	Power, Oil & Gas, Coal	1.6°C	50%	IEA, ETP 2020	ETP_SDS
Baseline	Power, Automotive, Oil & Gas	1.5°C	50%	JRC, GECO 2021 Baseline
NDC LTS	Power, Automotive, Oil & Gas, Coal	1.8°C	50%	JRC GECO 2021, NDC LTS
1.5C Unified	Power, Automotive, Oil & Gas, Coal, Aviation	>3°C	50%	JRC GECO 2021, 1.5C Unif
ISF Net Zero Scenario	Power, Coal, Oil & Gas	1.5°C	66%	ISF 2020, Sectoral Pathways to Net Zero Emissions	ISF_NZ